2nd Workshop on European Storms

3 September - 5 September 2012
University of Leeds

Conference board

  • Peter Knippertz 1
  • Tomasz Trzeciak 1
  • Jenny Owen 1
  • Ruth Lawford-Rolfe 2

1 School of Earth & Environment, University of Leeds

2 Climate and Geohazard Services, University of Leeds


  • Where? Weetwood Hall, Leeds, UK
  • When? 3-5 September 2012
  • Who? researchers and insurers interested in windstorms
  • What? share research ideas, establish links & develop strategies


MONDAY 3rd September  
12:00   Registration and Lunch  
13:30 Welcome Peter Knippertz University of Leeds
Session 1 - Insurance Applications  
13:45 Delivering research to the insurance industry Dickie Whitaker Lighthill Risk Network
14:15 RMS models of windstorm risk and windstorm clustering Stephen Jewson Risk Management Solutions
14:35 Decadal-scale changes in winter cyclones and associated hazardous winds in Europe Christoph Welker University of Bern
14:55 Providing high resolution data for a European windstorms database Julia Roberts Met Office Hadley Centre
15:15 High resolution footprints of European winter storms derived through dynamical and statistical downscaling Tim Kruschke University of Berlin
15:35 Discussion  
15:45 Coffee  
Session 2 - Meso-scale Dynamics  
16:15 The DIAMET project Geraint Vaughan University of Manchester
16:45 Phases in the lifecycles of European windstorms: to what extent can operational models and re-analyses capture them? Tim Hewson Met Office and ECMWF
17:05 Sting jets in intense winter North-Atlantic windstorms Suzanne Gray University of Reading
17:25 Diabatic processes and the structure of the warm conveyor belt Oscar Martinez-Alvarado University of Reading
17:45 Storm risk mitigation Kevin Pearson University of Reading
18:05 Discussion  
19:00 Icebreaker and Dinner  
TUESDAY 4th September  
Session 3 – Statistical Approaches  
09:00 Assessing method related uncertainties of extratropical cyclone detection and tracking algorithms Christophe Raible University of Bern
09:15 Dependency of interannual variability and trend assessment of extra-tropical cyclones on identification and tracking methods Gregor Leckebusch University of Birmingham
09:30 Wind storms in ensemble forecasts Uwe Ulbrich University of Berlin
10:00 Extremes in European windstorms in the Met Office seasonal and decadal predictions Leon Hermanson Met Office
10:20 Clustering of windstorms: dynamical background, diagnostic studies and associated impact Joaquim Pinto University of Cologne
10:40 Understanding the behaviour of extra-tropical cyclones of extreme intensity Theodorus Economou University of Exeter
11:00 Coffee  
11:30 Breakout groups  
13:00 Lunch  
Session 4 - Climate Variability and Change  
14:00 How might extratropical cyclones change in the future? Len Shaffrey University of Reading
14:30 How model-dependent are climate change projections of storminess? David Stephenson University of Exeter
15:00 Storm tracks and their feedbacks on global climate David Brayshaw University of Reading
15:20 A multi-model perspective on the future response of North Atlantic and European cyclones Giuseppe Zappa University of Reading
15:40 Sensitivity of the North Atlantic storm track to regional drivers of change Ben Harvey University of Reading
16:00 Coffee  
16:30 Poster session  
19:00 Dinner  
WEDNESDAY 5th September  
Session 5 - Synoptic-scale Dynamics  
09:00 Things your professor told you that were wrong about cyclones and fronts David Schultz University of Manchester
09:20 The role of large-scale atmospheric flow and Rossby wave breaking in the evolution of extreme wind storms over Europe  John Hanley University of Stockholm
09:40 Diagnosing the Influence of Diabatic Processes on the Explosive Deepening of Extratropical Cyclones over the North Atlantic Ocean Peter Knippertz University of Leeds
10:00 Xynthia: analysis of an exceptional extra-tropical cyclone Patrick Ludwig University of Cologne
10:20 How capable are climate models in representing severe, extra-tropical windstorms Tomasz Trzeciak University of Leeds
10:40 The unusual sequence of storms leading to precipitation records and floods in southern Iberia in December 1876 Ricardo Trigo University of Lisbon
11:00 Coffee  
11:30 Reports from Breakout Groups and Concluding Discussions  
13:00 Lunch