3 September - 5 September 2012
University of Leeds
1 School of Earth & Environment, University of Leeds
2 Climate and Geohazard Services, University of Leeds
MONDAY 3rd September | ||
12:00 Registration and Lunch | ||
13:30 | Welcome | Peter Knippertz University of Leeds |
Session 1 - Insurance Applications | ||
13:45 | Delivering research to the insurance industry | Dickie Whitaker Lighthill Risk Network |
14:15 | RMS models of windstorm risk and windstorm clustering | Stephen Jewson Risk Management Solutions |
14:35 | Decadal-scale changes in winter cyclones and associated hazardous winds in Europe | Christoph Welker University of Bern |
14:55 | Providing high resolution data for a European windstorms database | Julia Roberts Met Office Hadley Centre |
15:15 | High resolution footprints of European winter storms derived through dynamical and statistical downscaling | Tim Kruschke University of Berlin |
15:35 | Discussion | |
15:45 | Coffee | |
Session 2 - Meso-scale Dynamics | ||
16:15 | The DIAMET project | Geraint Vaughan University of Manchester |
16:45 | Phases in the lifecycles of European windstorms: to what extent can operational models and re-analyses capture them? | Tim Hewson Met Office and ECMWF |
17:05 | Sting jets in intense winter North-Atlantic windstorms | Suzanne Gray University of Reading |
17:25 | Diabatic processes and the structure of the warm conveyor belt | Oscar Martinez-Alvarado University of Reading |
17:45 | Storm risk mitigation | Kevin Pearson University of Reading |
18:05 | Discussion | |
19:00 | Icebreaker and Dinner | |
TUESDAY 4th September | ||
Session 3 – Statistical Approaches | ||
09:00 | Assessing method related uncertainties of extratropical cyclone detection and tracking algorithms | Christophe Raible University of Bern |
09:15 | Dependency of interannual variability and trend assessment of extra-tropical cyclones on identification and tracking methods | Gregor Leckebusch University of Birmingham |
09:30 | Wind storms in ensemble forecasts | Uwe Ulbrich University of Berlin |
10:00 | Extremes in European windstorms in the Met Office seasonal and decadal predictions | Leon Hermanson Met Office |
10:20 | Clustering of windstorms: dynamical background, diagnostic studies and associated impact | Joaquim Pinto University of Cologne |
10:40 | Understanding the behaviour of extra-tropical cyclones of extreme intensity | Theodorus Economou University of Exeter |
11:00 | Coffee | |
11:30 | Breakout groups | |
13:00 | Lunch | |
Session 4 - Climate Variability and Change | ||
14:00 | How might extratropical cyclones change in the future? | Len Shaffrey University of Reading |
14:30 | How model-dependent are climate change projections of storminess? | David Stephenson University of Exeter |
15:00 | Storm tracks and their feedbacks on global climate | David Brayshaw University of Reading |
15:20 | A multi-model perspective on the future response of North Atlantic and European cyclones | Giuseppe Zappa University of Reading |
15:40 | Sensitivity of the North Atlantic storm track to regional drivers of change | Ben Harvey University of Reading |
16:00 | Coffee | |
16:30 | Poster session | |
19:00 | Dinner | |
WEDNESDAY 5th September | ||
Session 5 - Synoptic-scale Dynamics | ||
09:00 | Things your professor told you that were wrong about cyclones and fronts | David Schultz University of Manchester |
09:20 | The role of large-scale atmospheric flow and Rossby wave breaking in the evolution of extreme wind storms over Europe | John Hanley University of Stockholm |
09:40 | Diagnosing the Influence of Diabatic Processes on the Explosive Deepening of Extratropical Cyclones over the North Atlantic Ocean | Peter Knippertz University of Leeds |
10:00 | Xynthia: analysis of an exceptional extra-tropical cyclone | Patrick Ludwig University of Cologne |
10:20 | How capable are climate models in representing severe, extra-tropical windstorms | Tomasz Trzeciak University of Leeds |
10:40 | The unusual sequence of storms leading to precipitation records and floods in southern Iberia in December 1876 | Ricardo Trigo University of Lisbon |
11:00 | Coffee | |
11:30 | Reports from Breakout Groups and Concluding Discussions | |
13:00 | Lunch |