Conference Board

• Margarida L. R. Liberato
• Isabel F. Trigo
• Alexandre M. Ramos
• Ricardo M. Trigo

Programme

Monday 8 September 2014:

12:00-14:00 - Registration

14:00-14:10 - IPMA and Organizing committee: Welcome and introduction to the workshop

 

Talks 1: Mid-latitude cyclones: climatology and variability (Chair: Alexandre Ramos)

14:10-14:30 - Frauke Feser: Storminess over the North Atlantic and northwestern Europe - A Review

14:30-14:50 - Shira Raveh-Rubin: Large-scale surface wind extremes in the Mediterranean

14:50-15:10 - Len Shaffrey: Polar Lows in Reanalyses and Climate Models

15:10-15:30 - Uwe Ulbrich: Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts with respect to frequencies of Northern Hemisphere winter extra-tropical cyclones and storms

15:30-15:50 - Oscar Martínez-Alvarado: Zonal variations in the systematic forecast error in upper-level Rossby waves

15:50-16:30 - Coffee/tea and cakes and POSTER session

 

Talks 2: Mid-latitude cyclones: large-scale dynamics (Chair: Margarida Liberato)

16:30-16:50 - João Santos: Are the Winters 2010 and 2012 Archetypes Exhibiting Extreme Opposite Behavior of the North Atlantic Jet Stream?

16:50-17:10 - Leon Hermanson: The ingredients of a stormy European winter: what is the role of the Pacific?

17:10-17:30 - Iñigo Gómara: On the relation between explosive cyclones affecting Europe and the NAO

17:30-17:50 - Joaquim G. Pinto: Large-scale dynamics associated with clustering of extratropical cyclones affecting Western Europe

17:50-18:10 - Breakout group organization

 

Tuesday 9 September 2014:

Talks 3: Mid-latitude cyclones: extremes and case studies (Chair: Isabel F. Trigo)

9:00- 9:20 - Piero Lionello: A comprehensive estimate the maximum water level reached during storms at the coast of the Mediterranean Sea in the mid 21st century

9:20- 9:40 - Sebastian Schemm: How moisture modifies the life cycle of an archetypal mid-latitude cyclone

9:40-10:00 - Margarida Belo: An observational study of a Sting Jet in southern Europe

10:00-10:20 - Christoph Gatzen: Derechos in European winter storms

10:20-10:40 - Peter Stucki: Dynamical downscaling as a time machine for weather and impact reconstruction – New perspectives on a severe foehn storm in 1925

10:40-11:20 - Coffee/tea and cakes and POSTER session

 

11:20-12:20 - Breakout group discussions

12:30-14:00 - Lunch

 

Talks 4: Mid-latitude cyclones: extreme events and impacts on Iberia (Chair: Uwe Ulbrich)

14:00-14:20 - Margarida Liberato: Mid-Latitude North Atlantic Extreme Storms Variability: Diagnosis, Modelling Dynamical Processes and Related Impacts on Iberia (STORMEx)

14:20-14:40 - Alexandre Ramos: Precipitation extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula and its association with Atmospheric Rivers

14:40-15:00 - Raquel Nieto: Moisture sources associated to ARs reaching the IP through a 3D Lagrangian approach

15:00-15:20 - Ricardo Trigo: Large-scale dynamics and impacts of historical storms on Iberia

 

15:20-15:40 - Coffee/tea and cakes and POSTER session

 

Talks 5: Mid-latitude cyclones: climatology and variability (Chair: Margarida Liberato)

15:40-16:00 - Christoph. C. Raible: Non-exponential return time distributions for vorticity extremes explained by fractional Poisson processes

16:00-16:20 - Urs Neu: Representation of extreme storms in ERA-Interim re-analysis

16:20-16:40 - Natalia Tilinina: New view of Arctic cyclone activity form the Arctic System Reanalysis

16:40-17:00 - Lisa Schielicke: Kinematic vorticity number – a tool for estimating circulations and cyclone sizes

 

17:00-18:00 - Breakout group discussions

 

Wednesday 10 September 2014:

Talks 6: Mid-latitude cyclones: risk assessment and quantification (Chair: Joaquim G. Pinto)

9:00-9:20 - Alexandros P. Georgiadis: Collaboration between the industry and academia: Building the hazard component for a Catastrophe Model

9:20-9:40 - Christoph Welker: Modelling economic losses of historic and present-day high-impact winter storms in Switzerland

9:40-10:00 - Ivan Kuhnel: Millennium-scale AOGCM simulations and their potential applicability in the modelling of extratropical-cyclone insurance losses

10:00-10:20 - Giovanni Leoncini: Windstorms, catastrophe models and Aspen Re

10:20-10:40 - Ioana M. Dima-West: Comparison of European catastrophe windstorm models

 

10:40-11:20 - Coffee/tea and cakes and POSTER session

11:20-12:20 - Breakout groups – reporting back

12:20-12:30 - Conclusions and future workshop

 

POSTER SESSION:

P01 Wataru Yanase : Climatology of polar lows over the Japan Sea

P02 Ray Bell: Reassessing the design criteria of offshore platforms using climate model data

P03 Julia Roberts: Can MOGREPS15 storms be used to inform long term storm climatology?

P04 Piero Lionello: On the cyclones responsible for positive and negative storm surges along the coast of the Mediterranean Sea

P05 Piero Lionello: Further progresses on a consensus view of the Mediterranean storm track as depicted by different cyclone tracking methods

P06 Humberto Barbosa: Satellite observations of Hurricane Bill (2009): links to African easterly waves and precipitation patterns

P07 Josephine Bowler: Evaluating the ability of climate models to represent damaging European Windstorm footprints

P08 Victoria Gil: Detection and Tracking of Extra-tropical Cyclones in the Mediterranean Region: an intercomparison between different models of CMIP5 project

P09 Niklaus Merz: Behavior of the eddy-driven jet in the North Atlantic during glacial and interglacial winter climate

P10 Gabriele Messori: Large-scale Dynamics of Severe European Windstorms

P11 Inigo Gómara: Rossby wave-breaking analysis of explosive cyclones in the Euro-Atlantic sector

P12 Martina Messmer: Vb-type cyclones and their role in generating extreme precipitation over Central Europe

P13 Maria Tous: How medicanes look on HadGEM3 N512 climate simulations

P14 Natalia Tilinina : Linking ocean turbulent fluxes heat to extratropical cyclone characteristics in midlatitudes

P15 Claudia Volosciuk: The Impact of a Warmer Mediterranean Sea on Central European Summer Flooding

P16 Prabodha Pradhan: Performance of YSU, QNSE and UW PBL schemes on the simulation of extratropical cyclones over North Atlantic Ocean

P17 Juan Ferreira: Relationship between extratropical cyclones intensification and atmospheric water vapour