Conference board
- Martina Messmer, Delft University of Technology, Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft, Netherlands
- Niklaus Merz, Partner Re, Zurich, Switzerland
- Prof. Christoph C. Raible, Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
- Prof. David Stephenson, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Exeter, UK
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Announcement
The aim of the workshop is to bring together scientists from dynamical meteorology and climatology as well as stakeholders from the insurance and engineering industries so that they can share recent research ideas.
The workshop further facilitates the cooperation between science and industry and will help in the design of end-to-end projects, i.e., from scientific understanding to implementation in practice.
Format and sessions
The conference will cover the following topics:
- Processes and dynamics of extratropical storms
- Prediction and predicability of extratropical storms on weather to decadal timescales
- Past variability and future changes in extratropical storms
- Impacts of extratropical storms
- Assessing (EU WS) storm-related insurance risks
Conference Homepage
11th European Windstorm WorkshopPhoto
Programme
| Wednesday 17 June 2026 | ||
| 12:00 | Registration | |
| 12:30 | Welcome | Martina Messmer |
| Session 1 – Assessing (EU WS) storm-related insurance risks (Convener: Niklaus Merz and Christoph Raible) | ||
| 13:00 | From Storms to Losses: A High-Resolution Model of Windstorm Risk in the Netherlands (pptx) | Maria del Socorro Fonseca-Cerda |
| 13:25 | Calibrating a new stochastic event set for European windstorms (pptx) | Alexandros Georgiadis |
| 13:50 | European windstorm losses on the decline: an exploration of regional trends and counterfactuals (pptx) | Marius Egli |
| 14:15 | From Climate Model Ensembles to Loss: A Stochastic Event Catalog for European Windstorm Risks | Lois Tang |
| 14:40 | Improving Europe-wide windstorm damage model using insurance loss data (PDF) | Aditya Mishra |
| 15:05 | Poster Spotlight 1 (3 min each) | Uwe Ulbrich, Farid Ait-Chaalal, Alicia Engelmann, Daan van Ederen |
| 15:20 | 40 min coffee break and poster session | |
| 16:00 | An evaluation of ensemble return period estimates for Storm Kristin, enabling risk quantification without catastrophe models (PDF) | Toby Jones |
| 16:25 | On Robust Signals in the Variability of European Windstorm Risk (pptx) | Philip Rupp |
| 16:50 | STORM-EX: A statistical synthetic generating model for extratropical transition to quantify post-tropical cyclone risk (PDF) | Marjolein Ribberink |
| Session 2 – Processes and dynamics of extratropical storms (Convener: Christoph Raible) | ||
| 17:15 | Spatial clustering of severe European winter windstorms on intra-seasonal timescales (PDF) | Sophie Feltz |
| 17:40 | Synoptic structure of two types of spatio-temporally clustered cyclones (pptx) | Chris Weijenborg |
| 18:05 | Discussion of the first day | |
| 18:30-20:30 | Icebreaker at LABS | |
| Thursday 18 June 2026 | ||
| Convener: David Stephenson | ||
| 8:30 | Impact of ocean mesoscale on the representation of midlatitude storms in global climate models (pptx) | Ipshita Dey |
| 8:55 | An Overview and First Insights from the NAWDIC Airborne Campaign regarding European European Windstorms (PDF) | Joaquim Pinto |
| 9:20 | Dry Intrusion and Cloud Head winds On Top Of Marine Interfaces (DICHOTOMI) (PDF) | Florian Pantillon |
| 09:45 | A low-cost identification method for sting jets in gridded data (PDF) | Lea Eisenstein |
| 10:10 | Extreme hazard cyclones in ERA5 (PDF) | Sven Voigt |
| 10:35 | Poster Spotlight 2 (3 min each) | Elke Meyer, Christoph Raible, Haris Efthymiou |
| 10:50 | 25 min Coffee break / Group picture | |
| 11:50 | Long-term variability regional changes in precipitation since 850 and the role of the water vapor transport (PDF) | Alexandre M. Ramos, Pedro M. Sousa, Ricardo M. Trigo, Christoph C. Raible, Martina Messmer, Joaquim G. Pinto |
| 10:50 |
Breakout groups: What are the grand challenges (within next 5 years) for: 1. Processes and dynamics of extratropical storms, Florian Pantillon 2. Prediction and predictability of extratropical storms on weather to decadal timescale, Joaquim Pinto 3. Past variability and future changes in extratropical storms, David Stephenson 4. Impacts of extratropical storms, Christoph Raible |
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| 12:30-13:30 | Lunch (Broodjes Delft) | |
| Session 3 – Impacts of extratropical storms (Convener: Joaquim Pinto) | ||
| 15:30 | More Than Just Wind Gusts: Identifying the Key Storm Characteristics Driving Building Damages in Germany (PDF) | Andreas Trojand |
| 15:55 | Do AI models predict storm hazards as accurately as physics-based models? A case study of the February 2020 European storm series (PDF) | Hilla Afargan-Gerstman |
| 16:20 | Anthropogenic Climate Influence on a Cluster of Intense European Storms in 2022: An Event-based Storyline Approach (PDF) | Felipe de Luca Lopes de Amorim |
| 16:45 | Projected changes in extreme windstorms and high-wind cyclone tracks across model resolutions (PDF) | Sara C. Pryor |
| 17:10 | Historical and Future Windstorms in the Northeastern United States (PDF) | Rebecca J. Barthelmie |
| 17:35-18:30 | Discussion of the second day | |
| 19:00 | Dinner at the Delfts Brouwhuis | |
| Friday 19 June 2026 | ||
| Session 4 – Past variability and future changes in extratropical storms (Convener: Martina Messmer) | ||
| 08:50 | The windstorms of tomorrow: What yesterday’s extremes reveal (PDF) | Johanne Øelund |
| 09:15 | Extreme Extratropical Cyclones in a Warmer Climate: Assessing Signal Robustness and Model Uncertainty | Lara Mercier |
| 09:40 | North Atlantic storm track sensitivity to AMOC collapse in regional climate simulations (PDF) | Alejandro Hermoso Verger |
| 10:05 | Why are future projections of European windstorms so model-dependent? (PDF) | David Stephenson |
| 10:30 | Thermodynamic sensitivity of Storm Boris to sea surface temperature anomalies (pptx) | Fulden Batibeniz |
| 10:55 | 30 min Coffee break | |
| 11:30 | Reports from Breakout Groups and Concluding Discussio | |
| 13:00 | End of the Meeting | |
| Poster Presentations | ||
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